OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2024

BMW Championship

2024-08-22 · Castle Pines Golf Club

Winner
Keegan Bradley
Winning score
-12
Field
50
Field strength
+0.689 SG

The 2024 BMW Championship was played at Castle Pines Golf Club, starting 22 August 2024. Keegan Bradley won at 12 under par (276), 1 stroke ahead of Adam Scott. The winning card was 66, 68, 70 and 72, and the win paid $3,600,000. Adam Scott, Ludvig Åberg and Sam Burns tied for second. 50 players started the event. The field averaged +0.689 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 50. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 48 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.242
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
22.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (26th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st33rd
Xander Schauffele2nd5th
Collin Morikawa3rd28th
Patrick Cantlay4th13th
Rory McIlroy5th11th
Ludvig Åberg6th2nd
Viktor Hovland7th26th
Tommy Fleetwood8th5th
Russell Henley9th22nd
Tony Finau10th13th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Cam Davis45th5th(−40)
Chris Kirk42nd9th(−33)
Scottie Scheffler1st33rd(+32)
Sahith Theegala16th48th(+32)
Keegan Bradley32nd1st(−31)
Will Zalatoris44th13th(−31)
Aaron Rai17th43rd(+26)
Collin Morikawa3rd28th(+25)
Si Woo Kim30th5th(−25)
Alex Noren33rd9th(−24)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Castle Pines Golf Club in Castle Rock, Colorado, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the BMW Championship in 2024?

Keegan Bradley won the 2024 BMW Championship at Castle Pines Golf Club, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2024 BMW Championship played?

The 2024 BMW Championship was played at Castle Pines Golf Club, starting 22 August 2024.

What was the winning score at the 2024 BMW Championship?

The winning score was 12 under par (276 strokes), posted by Keegan Bradley.

How many players were in the BMW Championship field?

50 players started the 2024 BMW Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.