OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

BMW Championship

2015-09-17 · Conway Farms GC

Winner
Jason Day
Winning score
-22
Field
71
Field strength
+0.712 SG

The 2014-2015 BMW Championship was played at Conway Farms GC, starting 17 September 2015. Jason Day won at 22 under par (262), 6 strokes ahead of Daniel Berger. The winning card was 61, 63, 69 and 69, and the win paid $1,485,000. Daniel Berger finished second, and Scott Piercy was third. 71 players started the event. The field averaged +0.712 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 99% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 71. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.387
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
26.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (69th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st4th
Jason Day2nd1st
Justin Rose3rd13th
Zach Johnson4th13th
Jordan Spieth5th13th
Sergio Garcia6th39th
Bubba Watson7th10th
Matt Kuchar8th41st
Henrik Stenson9th10th
Hideki Matsuyama10th7th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Scott Piercy65th3rd(−62)
Daniel Berger63rd2nd(−61)
Brandt Snedeker14th66th(+52)
Cameron Tringale55th7th(−48)
Webb Simpson19th64th(+45)
J.B. Holmes41st4th(−37)
James Hahn69th32nd(−37)
Brooks Koepka15th49th(+34)
Sergio Garcia6th39th(+33)
Matt Kuchar8th41st(+33)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Conway Farms GC in Lake Forest, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the BMW Championship in 2014-2015?

Jason Day won the 2014-2015 BMW Championship at Conway Farms GC, finishing 22 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 BMW Championship played?

The 2014-2015 BMW Championship was played at Conway Farms GC, starting 17 September 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 BMW Championship?

The winning score was 22 under par (262 strokes), posted by Jason Day.

How many players were in the BMW Championship field?

71 players started the 2014-2015 BMW Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.