OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Barbasol Championship

2016-07-14 · RTJ Trail (Grand National)

Winner
Aaron Baddeley
Winning score
-18
Field
119
Field strength
-0.186 SG

The 2015-2016 Barbasol Championship was played at RTJ Trail (Grand National), starting 14 July 2016. Aaron Baddeley won at 18 under par (266). The winning card was 70, 66, 64 and 66, and the win paid $630,000. Si Woo Kim finished second. 119 players started the event. The field averaged -0.186 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 76% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 119. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.271
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
32.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (33rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Will Wilcox1st54th
David Hearn2nd20th
Chad Campbell3rd35th
Jason Bohn4th62nd
Graham DeLaet5th8th
David Toms6th11th
Boo Weekley7th11th
Roberto Castro8th11th
Brian Harman9th8th
Bud Cauley10th31st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Richard Lee73rd4th(−69)
Andres Gonzales66th4th(−62)
Jason Bohn4th62nd(+58)
Will Wilcox1st54th(+53)
Michael Thompson56th4th(−52)
Darron Stiles71st20th(−51)
Ryan Armour70th20th(−50)
Zac Blair24th73rd(+49)
Martin Laird14th62nd(+48)
Spencer Levin19th62nd(+43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at RTJ Trail (Grand National) in Auburn/Opelika, Alabama, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Barbasol Championship in 2015-2016?

Aaron Baddeley won the 2015-2016 Barbasol Championship at RTJ Trail (Grand National), finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Barbasol Championship played?

The 2015-2016 Barbasol Championship was played at RTJ Trail (Grand National), starting 14 July 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Barbasol Championship?

The winning score was 18 under par (266 strokes), posted by Aaron Baddeley.

How many players were in the Barbasol Championship field?

119 players started the 2015-2016 Barbasol Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.