Tournaments / 2020-2021
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard
2021-03-04 · Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge
- Winner
- Bryson DeChambeau
- Winning score
- -11
- Field
- 119
- Field strength
- +0.27 SG
The 2020-2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 4 March 2021. Bryson DeChambeau won at 11 under par (277), 1 stroke ahead of Lee Westwood. The winning card was 67, 71, 68 and 71, and the win paid $1,674,000. Lee Westwood finished second, and Corey Conners was third. 119 players started the event. The field averaged +0.27 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 119. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Bryson DeChambeau
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 277
- Lee Westwood
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 278
- Corey Conners
- Pos
- 3
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 280
- Andrew Putnam
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 282
- Jordan Spieth
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 282
- Richy Werenski
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 282
- Christiaan Bezuidenhout
- Pos
- 7
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 283
- Chris Kirk
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 284
- Jason Kokrak
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 284
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 285
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 64
- R4
- 78
- Total
- 285
- Matt Fitzpatrick
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 285
- Max Homa
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 285
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 285
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 76
- Total
- 285
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 77
- Total
- 285
- Will Zalatoris
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 285
- Brendan Steele
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 286
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 75
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 286
- Matt Wallace
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 286
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.321
- Top-20 hit rate
- 45%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 28.1
Grade is this event’s percentile (50th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 1st | 10th |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 2nd | 21st |
| Viktor Hovland | 3rd | 49th |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 4th | 1st |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 5th | 10th |
| Sungjae Im | 6th | 21st |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 7th | 18th |
| Jason Kokrak | 8th | 8th |
| Harris English | 9th | 26th |
| Paul Casey | 10th | 10th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Lee Westwood | 64th | 2nd(−62) |
| Andrew Putnam | 59th | 4th(−55) |
| Rickie Fowler | 21st | 72nd(+51) |
| Richy Werenski | 52nd | 4th(−48) |
| Viktor Hovland | 3rd | 49th(+46) |
| Brendon Todd | 13th | 57th(+44) |
| Henrik Norlander | 28th | 71st(+43) |
| Padraig Harrington | 71st | 31st(−40) |
| Russell Knox | 33rd | 70th(+37) |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 68th | 31st(−37) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard in 2020-2021?
Where was the 2020-2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard played?
What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?
How many players were in the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.