Tournaments / 2013-2014
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard
2014-03-20 · Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge
- Winner
- Matt Every
- Winning score
- -13
- Field
- 118
- Field strength
- +0.218 SG
The 2013-2014 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 20 March 2014. Matt Every won at 13 under par (275), 1 stroke ahead of Keegan Bradley. The winning card was 69, 70, 66 and 70, and the win paid $1,116,000. Keegan Bradley finished second, and Adam Scott was third. 118 players started the event. The field averaged +0.218 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 118. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Matt Every
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 275
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 276
- Adam Scott
- Pos
- 3
- R1
- 62
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 76
- Total
- 277
- Jason Kokrak
- Pos
- 4
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 278
- Erik Compton
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Francesco Molinari
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 279
- Henrik Stenson
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 279
- Brandt Snedeker
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 280
- Ryo Ishikawa
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 280
- Freddie Jacobson
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 282
- Graeme McDowell
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 77
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 282
- J.B. Holmes
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 282
- Sean O'Hair
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 282
- George McNeill
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 283
- Harris English
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 283
- Kevin Chappell
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 283
- Kevin Na
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 283
- Lucas Glover
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 283
- Matt Jones
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 283
- Brendan Steele
- Pos
- T20
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 284
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.294
- Top-20 hit rate
- 50%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 21.3
Grade is this event’s percentile (41st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Keegan Bradley | 1st | 2nd |
| Zach Johnson | 2nd | 43rd |
| Henrik Stenson | 3rd | 5th |
| Adam Scott | 4th | 3rd |
| Ryan Moore | 5th | 60th |
| Graeme McDowell | 6th | 10th |
| Chris Kirk | 7th | 60th |
| Kevin Na | 8th | 14th |
| Ian Poulter | 9th | 20th |
| K.J. Choi | 10th | 60th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Hair | 72nd | 10th(−62) |
| Ryan Moore | 5th | 60th(+55) |
| Lucas Glover | 69th | 14th(−55) |
| Chris Kirk | 7th | 60th(+53) |
| K.J. Choi | 10th | 60th(+50) |
| Erik Compton | 51st | 5th(−46) |
| Ryo Ishikawa | 54th | 8th(−46) |
| J.B. Holmes | 53rd | 10th(−43) |
| Zach Johnson | 2nd | 43rd(+41) |
| Pat Perez | 26th | 67th(+41) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard in 2013-2014?
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What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard?
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Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.