Tournaments / 2018-2019

3M Open

2019-07-04 · TPC Twin Cities

Winner: Matthew Wolff
Winning score: -21
Field: 162
Field strength: -0.054 SG

The 2018-2019 3M Open was played at TPC Twin Cities, starting 4 July 2019. Matthew Wolff won at 21 under par (263), 1 stroke ahead of Bryson DeChambeau. The winning card was 69, 67, 62 and 65, and the win paid $1,152,000. Bryson DeChambeau and Collin Morikawa tied for second. 162 players started the event. The field averaged -0.054 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 77% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 162. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Matthew Wolff	69	67	62	65	263	-21
T2	Bryson DeChambeau	66	62	70	66	264	-20
T2	Collin Morikawa	68	66	64	66	264	-20
4	Adam Hadwin	64	66	69	67	266	-18
T5	Carlos Ortiz	67	67	69	64	267	-17
T5	Wyndham Clark	66	69	64	68	267	-17
T7	Brian Harman	65	67	71	65	268	-16
T7	Hideki Matsuyama	64	70	66	68	268	-16
T7	Joey Garber	73	65	65	65	268	-16
T7	Lucas Glover	67	72	67	62	268	-16
T7	Sam Burns	66	66	72	64	268	-16
T7	Troy Merritt	70	64	66	68	268	-16
T13	Fabián Gómez	68	68	68	65	269	-15
T13	Viktor Hovland	69	66	69	65	269	-15
T15	Adam Svensson	70	64	69	67	270	-14
T15	Charlie Danielson	73	66	64	67	270	-14
T15	Daniel Berger	68	66	69	67	270	-14
T15	Roger Sloan	67	67	67	69	270	-14
T15	Scott Brown	68	65	68	69	270	-14
T15	Scott Piercy	62	70	69	69	270	-14

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 85 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade

Rank correlation: +0.219
Top-20 hit rate: 40%
Top-10 avg model rank: 28.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (21st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Brooks Koepka	1st	65th
Hideki Matsuyama	2nd	7th
Jason Day	3rd	66th
Tony Finau	4th	23rd
Bryson DeChambeau	5th	2nd
Patrick Reed	6th	23rd
Keegan Bradley	7th	46th
Kevin Streelman	8th	34th
Lucas Glover	9th	7th
Daniel Berger	10th	15th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Matthew Wolff	74th	1st(−73)
Joey Garber	78th	7th(−71)
Michael Thompson	19th	85th(+66)
Brooks Koepka	1st	65th(+64)
Jason Day	3rd	66th(+63)
Fabián Gómez	76th	13th(−63)
Arjun Atwal	83rd	23rd(−60)
Talor Gooch	16th	73rd(+57)
Adam Svensson	70th	15th(−55)
Chase Wright	75th	23rd(−52)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the 3M Open in 2018-2019?

Matthew Wolff won the 2018-2019 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 3M Open played?

The 2018-2019 3M Open was played at TPC Twin Cities, starting 4 July 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 3M Open?

The winning score was 21 under par (263 strokes), posted by Matthew Wolff.

How many players were in the 3M Open field?

162 players started the 2018-2019 3M Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.